May 2011. The Scottish National Party won the Holyrood Scottish Parliament election.
May-June 2012. Yes Scotland and Better Together were launched.
October 2012. The Edinburgh agreement was signed. In the agreed referendum there was to be no third “devo-max” option on the ballot paper.
September 2013. I wrote in an email: If Scotland doesn’t choose independence, it doesn’t seem right that Scotland’s central bank should continue to be called the Bank of England.
January 2014. The Bank of England governor commented that a durable, successful currency union requires some ceding of national sovereignty.
April 2014. I wrote in an email: I haven’t got any strong opinions about Scottish independence and I don’t think its my business. (I’ve only lived here for a few years).
25 August. Alistair Darling’s attempt to explain the currency problem in the second leaders TV debate was swamped by interruptions from Alex Salmond and the audience. This seemed to be the moment when the increase in support for the Yes campaign happened. They were thought to have won the currency argument.
6 September. In a new YouGov opinion poll, support for Yes had increased, and was now greater than support for No.
8 September. American economist Paul Krugman commented that sharing a currency without sharing a government is dangerous, and if Scottish voters really believe that it’s safe to become a country without a currency, they have been badly misled.
10 September. I emailed the Krugman link to some political friends in England.
( http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/08/opinion/paul-krugman-scots-what-the-heck.html ).
11 September. In a graphic of a new Survation referendum poll, in Metro, the figures were shown the wrong way round. Perhaps someone at Metro had assumed that the popularity of Yes had continued to increase. Actually the trend had reversed.
12 September. Standing up in a bus to get a Metro, I fell over. The driver and other passengers were a bit upset, and I got a big bruise. Metro had reprinted the graphic with the correct figures and an apology for yesterdays mistake. No had got 53 percent and Yes got 47 percent.
16 September. Three new opinion polls were announced, all with 52 percent for No and 48 percent for Yes.
18 September. Referendum day. In the middle of the afternoon I went for a walk along a cycle path and past the polling place. I knew which way I wanted to vote but still wasn’t sure that it was my business to do so.
Later. The final opinion poll, taken on voting day, was 53 percent No, 47 percent Yes.
Bedtime. There was a rumour on the radio that North Lanarkshire, which was expected to have a No majority, had voted Yes. I went to bed and left the radio turned on.
19 September, early morning. Soon after midnight the first regional result was announced. Clackmannanshire had voted No, with a larger majority than had been expected.
About 3 hours after that, 7 regional results had been declared. The City of Dundee and West Dunbartonshire both had Yes majorities. No had 50.2 percent of the total votes announced.
About an hour later, 21 of the 32 regional results had been declared, and No had 55 percent of the total vote. Orkney had the highest No vote, 67.2 percent, and North Lanarkshire had voted 51 percent Yes.
Next came the Glasgow result, 53 percent Yes. This was only enough to decrease the No share of the total vote to 54 percent. This was the moment when it became almost certain that No had won.
Next time I woke up it was daylight and No had won with a 55 percent majority.
Later I went shopping. The sky was grey, there was light rain, winter is coming on, and I’m still in the UK. I felt quite cheerful.